S&P 500 7,022.95 ▲ 0.80% today·10-Yr Treasury 4.29% ▲ 0.03% today·Next: FOMC Decision Thu, May 7

Make the market make sense.

Fed & Interest RatesComing soon

FOMC Decision

Affects mortgage and auto loan costs

May 7
Employment & JobsComing soon

Jobs Report

Affects employment trends and Fed rate decisions

~May 12
Inflation ReportsComing soon

CPI Report

May impact grocery and rent prices

~May 12
Inflation ReportsHIGH IMPACT

Consumer Prices Jumped in March as Inflation Accelerated

330.293
CPI Index Level

A sharp price surge in March reignited inflation concerns across markets.

Inflation rises → Fed holds or raises rates → Borrowing costs stay elevated → Stock valuations often face pressure
Mar 1, 2026 · 4 min read
Growth & GDPHIGH IMPACT

Stocks Surged 2.5% as Investors Piled Back Into Equities

6,782.81
S&P 500 Close

A broad stock rally pushed the S&P 500 up 2.5% in one session.

Stocks surge → Investors reassess growth outlook → Bond market confirms or contradicts → Follow-through days often matter more than the initial spike
Apr 8, 2026 · 4 min read
Employment & JobsHIGH IMPACT

Steady Hiring and Lower Unemployment Ease Labor Market Fears

+178,000
Nonfarm Payrolls

A rebound in hiring pushed the unemployment rate back down to 4.3%.

Jobs rise → recession fears ease → rate cut pressure fades → bond yields tend to hold steady
Mar 1, 2026 · 4 min read
Fed & Interest RatesHIGH IMPACT

Fed Holds Rates Steady as Unemployment Edges Higher

3.64%
Federal Funds Effective Rate

The Fed held rates steady despite rising unemployment and sticky inflation.

Inflation stays sticky → Fed holds rates steady → Borrowing costs tend to plateau → Markets often trade sideways
Mar 1, 2026 · 4 min read
Inflation ReportsHIGH IMPACT

Inflation Held Steady at 0.3% as Price Pressures Persisted

327.46
CPI Index Level

Consumer prices kept rising at a steady pace, keeping Fed rate cuts off the table.

Inflation stays steady → Fed holds rates → Borrowing costs stay elevated → Stocks often face headwinds
Feb 1, 2026 · 4 min read
Employment & JobsHIGH IMPACT

Payrolls Dipped Again as the Labor Market Kept Cooling

-17,000
Nonfarm Payrolls (change)

Payrolls fell again as hiring stayed weak across much of 2025.

Jobs fall → Fed more likely to cut rates → Borrowing costs drop → Stocks often benefit
Dec 1, 2025 · 4 min read
Employment & JobsMEDIUM IMPACT

Jobless Claims Hold Steady as Labor Market Stays Firm

213,000
Initial Jobless Claims

Jobless Claims Rise ↓ Layoffs Accelerating ↓ Fed More Likely to Cut Rates ↓ Borrowing Costs Often Fall ↓ Stocks Tend to Benefit
Feb 28, 2026 · 4 min read
Growth & GDPHIGH IMPACT

U.S. Economic Growth Slowed Sharply in the Third Quarter of 2025

$24,111.83B
Real GDP (billions, chained 2017 dollars)

GDP Growth Slows ↓ Recession Concerns Rise ↓ Fed More Likely to Cut Rates ↓ Investors Often Shift Toward Safer Assets ↓ Borrowing Costs Can Fall
Oct 1, 2025 · 4 min read
Fed & Interest RatesHIGH IMPACT

Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady After a String of Cuts

3.64%
Federal Funds Effective Rate

Fed Cuts Rates Repeatedly ↓ Fed Pauses to Assess Impact ↓ Inflation and Jobs Data Decide Next Move ↓ Cuts Resume or Rates Stay Higher for Longer
Feb 1, 2026 · 4 min read
Inflation ReportsHIGH IMPACT

PCE Inflation Ticked Up in December After Months of Calm

+0.4%
PCE Price Index (Month-over-Month Change)

PCE Inflation Rises ↓ Fed Holds Rates Higher for Longer ↓ Borrowing Costs Stay Elevated ↓ Stocks and Bonds Can Face Pressure
Dec 1, 2025 · 4 min read
Inflation ReportsMEDIUM IMPACT

January Inflation Holds Steady as Price Pressures Stay Mild

326.588
CPI (All Urban Consumers, Index)

Inflation Stays Calm ↓ Fed Holds or Cuts Rates ↓ Borrowing Costs Stay Low ↓ Stocks and Bonds Often Benefit
Jan 1, 2026 · 4 min read
Employment & JobsHIGH IMPACT

U.S. Economy Lost 92,000 Jobs in February, Unemployment Rises to 4.4%

158,466 (-92k)
Nonfarm Payrolls (thousands)

Jobs Fall + Unemployment Rises ↓ Fed More Likely to Cut Rates ↓ Borrowing Costs Tend to Fall ↓ Stocks Often Benefit, Bonds Typically Rally
Feb 1, 2026 · 4 min read

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